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Seasonal forecast

Seasonal deviation from averages probability:

January 2019:

Northern Territory:
Temperature:

Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:

Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:20%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 50%
Chance of exceeding median:35%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.



Darwin:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:55%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:55%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Precipitation:
Above average:20%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 50%
Chance of exceeding median:35%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.





Western Australia:
Perth:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%

Pillibara:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:80%
Roughly average:15%
Below average 5%
Chance of exceeding median:85%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:80%
Roughly average:15%
Below average 5%
Chance of exceeding median:85%

Precipitation:
Above average:20%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 50%
Chance of exceeding median:35%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Kimberly:

Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:20%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 50%
Chance of exceeding median:35%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Southwest:

Maximum Temperature:
Above average:30%
Roughly average:35%
Below average 35%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:30%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

West:

Maximum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum Temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%







Queensland:
Central:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Eastern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.


Northern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:55%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:55%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Precipitation:
Above average:40%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

New South Wales:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Victoria:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Tasmania:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

South Australia:
North:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%

South:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%

February:
Northern Territory:
Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 35%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Darwin:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 35%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.




Western Australia:
Perth:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%


Pillibara:

Maximum Temperature:
Above average:80%
Roughly average:15%
Below average 5%
Chance of exceeding median:85%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:80%
Roughly average:15%
Below average 5%
Chance of exceeding median:85%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.


Kimberly:

Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Southwest:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%


West:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%




Queensland:
Central:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.


Eastern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Northern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:20%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 50%
Chance of exceeding median:35%

*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

New South Wales:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Victoria:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Tasmania:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

South Australia:
North:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%

South:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%








March:

Northern Territory:
Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 35%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Darwin:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 35%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.




Western Australia:
Perth:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%


Pillibara:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:80%
Roughly average:15%
Below average 5%
Chance of exceeding median:85%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:80%
Roughly average:15%
Below average 5%
Chance of exceeding median:85%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.


Kimberly:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Southwest:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%


West:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%




Queensland:
Central:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.


Eastern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:55%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Precipitation:
Above average:20%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 50%
Chance of exceeding median:35%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Northern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:20%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 50%
Chance of exceeding median:35%

*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

New South Wales:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Victoria:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Tasmania:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

South Australia:
North:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%

South:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

April:

Northern Territory:
Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 35%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Darwin:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 35%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.




Western Australia:
Perth:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%


Pillibara:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:70%
Roughly average:20%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:80%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:70%
Roughly average:20%
Below average:10%
Chance of exceeding median:80%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.


Kimberly:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Southwest:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%


West:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%




Queensland:
Central:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.


Eastern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:55%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Precipitation:
Above average:20%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 50%
Chance of exceeding median:35%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Northern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:20%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 50%
Chance of exceeding median:35%

*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

New South Wales:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Victoria:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Tasmania:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

South Australia:
North:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

South:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%








May:

Northern Territory:
Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Darwin:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:55%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:55%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%





Western Australia:
Perth:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%


Pillibara:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:65%
Roughly average:20%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:65%
Roughly average:20%
Below average:15%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%


Kimberly:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Southwest:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%


West:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%




Queensland:
Central:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.


Eastern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:55%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Precipitation:
Above average:20%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 50%
Chance of exceeding median:35%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Northern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

New South Wales:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%

Victoria:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Tasmania:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

South Australia:
North:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

South:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

June:

Northern Territory:
Temperature:
Above average:70%
Roughly average:20%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:80%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Darwin:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%





Western Australia:
Perth:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%


Pillibara:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:65%
Roughly average:20%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average:20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.


Kimberly:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:75%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Southwest:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:25%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 45%
Chance of exceeding median:40%


West:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:40%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 30%
Chance of exceeding median:55%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%




Queensland:
Central:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:60%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 10%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.


Eastern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:55%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 15%
Chance of exceeding median:70%

Precipitation:
Above average:20%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 50%
Chance of exceeding median:35%
*Passage of a tropical cyclone could produce areas of significantly above average precipitation.

Northern:
Maximum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum Temperature:
Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

New South Wales:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:50%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 20%
Chance of exceeding median:65%

Precipitation:
Above average:30%
Roughly average 30%
Below average 40%
Chance of exceeding median:45%

Victoria:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Tasmania:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:45%
Roughly average:30%
Below average 25%
Chance of exceeding median:60%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

South Australia:
North:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

South:

Maximum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Minimum temperature:

Above average:33%
Roughly average:33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Precipitation:
Above average:33%
Roughly average 33%
Below average 33%
Chance of exceeding median:50%

Images:

ACCESS-S1:

ECMWF:

Met Office:

JMA:

Weatherzone Darwin-Daly:

Weatherzone Perth:

t

Below are the maps of temperature and precipitation anomaly predictions of 18 different seasonal weather prediction systems for the region surrounding the United States. The official NOAA seasonal forecasts are also shown. The seasonal prediction systems used include ECMWF, NCEP CFS,  UK Met Office, JMA,  International Research  Institute(IRI) for Climate and Society,Columbia University,  North American Multi-Model Ensemble Project (NMME),  NASA_GEOS5v2,  NCAR_CCSM4,   CMC1_CanCM3,  CMC2_CanCM4,  GFDL_FLOR,  GFDL_CM2.1,   IMME ,Official NOAA Seasonal Predictions, Accuweather ,WeatherTrends360 ,Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac. Generally most of the seasonal prediction systems predict above average temperatures over the Western United States, average temps over the Northeastern United States,some predict below average temps over Northeastern United States, ECMWF especially in January, Accuweather especially in February, Weathertrends 360 especially in January and also the Farmer's Almanac but not the Old Farmer's Almanac. WeatherTrends360 , Farmer's Almanac and Old Farmer's Almanac do not use general circulation models(GCM). Accuweather do not release their methods for producing long range forecasts but have been controversial. Apparently WeatherTrends360 makes some use of Bayseian statistics. Images: NOAA Official seasonal forecast ECMWF: Met Office: JMA: Weathertrends 360: Farmers' Almanac: Old Farmer's Almanac: